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I may sound pessimistic, but I’m being careful. Scaling AI models and data centers and assuming that will make AI truly smarter—creating new things, inventing solutions humans haven’t considered, uncovering unseen patterns—doesn’t seem likely with current technology or the way it’s being pursued.
I haven’t invested in AI and don’t plan to. It feels too late, too expensive, and I don’t expect the returns to justify the cost. That said, today’s AI does make the human-computer interface more natural and user-friendly, which is a meaningful step forward.
However, I don’t expect the current trajectory of AI to significantly change how people do business, conduct science, or practice computer science in the next several years. In my view, AI is primarily a new, more human-friendly interface—not a system that will suddenly become truly “smart,” despite the massive investments pouring into it.